This moved liberals out of electoral districts where Democrats reliably won by large margins into many purple regions that had the potential to swing with just small changes to the map. The Senate has changed control eight times since 1980 (after 26 years without a change). After the partys disastrous midterm races, Republicans in the critical battleground state are conducting a postmortem, holding focus groups throughout the state and interviewing thousands of voters about everything from abortion to former President Donald Trump in hopes of getting to the bottom of their losses. (November 2022) In the run up to the Turkish general election scheduled to take place in 2023, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. More in 2022 Election. Nevada In both 2016 and 2020, Donald Trump lost Nevada by about 2.5%, and Joe Biden performed slightly worse than Hillary Clinton. The GOP is still favored to hold open seats in North Carolina and Ohio, rated Lean Republican.. A RED RIPPLE CAN STILL BE A BIG DEAL Weve been doing this long enough to know that the most common mistake that analysts make after an election is to over-interpret the results. As a sign of the seriousness of the effort, the state party has enlisted Public Opinion Strategies, a D.C. area-based firm, to conduct the review of the 2022 election. That consortium known as Electronic Registration Information Center, or ERIC has been a genuine bipartisan success story, finding buy-in from red states like Florida and Texas and blue states like Colorado and Connecticut to help them remove duplicate voter registrations and catch potential instances of double voting. Postal Service and Census Bureau shows how the pandemic drove urban professionals who were able to work remotely disproportionately Democrats out of coastal, progressive cities to seek more space or recreational amenities in the nations suburbs and Sun Belt. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Matt Gorman is a Vice President at Targeted Victory, a digital marketing firm based in Arlington, VA. October 21:Iowa moves from Safe to Likely Republican. But conservative conspiracy sites like The Gateway Pundit and the Thomas More Society, a nonprofit that filed lawsuits that unsuccessfully sought to overturn the 2020 election, have attacked ERIC as part of a liberal plot to control the underpinnings of American elections. Because theyre not part of it. But the GOPs victory could also represent a chance for the United States to finally end its political quagmire. If the two parties split those six seats evenly, Republicans will win a 51-49 majority. Good Monday morning. Thirty-nine state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, as well as numerous state and local elections, were also contested. ATLANTA Its Friday evening, two weeks before the Georgia Senate runoff. This poll of polls collates all the major exit polls conducted by different organisations for Gujarat and Himachal . @JMilesColeman . The success of past predictions can be checked via our Search box. Its a middle-class district where about a quarter of residents are college graduates, and the median income is just under the national median household income of $70,784. If those Toss Ups were to split evenly down the middle, Republicans would wind up at around 230 seats (+17). He previously was legislative director for Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) and is a Henry Waxman alum. The new Alabama secretary of state's first move in office showed how ideas stemming from the stolen election myth are affecting government. Santos also conceded hed embellished his familys Jewish history, having previously claimed his mother was Jewish and his maternal grandparents escaped the Holocaust during World War II. Here's a list of the ups anddowns: A more competitive national environment and some weaker GOP nominees mean neither party enters the final two months before the election with a significant advantage in the battle for Senate control. Kari Lake, who, during the campaign, would not commit to accepting the results of her race, as she repeated former President Donald Trumps false claim that the 2020 election was rigged. 2. I happen to be running against MANDELA BARNES, Johnson said. Last election 36.35%, 104 seats 38.14%, 80 seats 18.3%, 37 seats . Bruised egos are commonplace in politics. Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker are on a November collision course in the most closely divided state of the 2020 presidential election. Even if Republicans fail to win any of the 26 Toss Up races just 2 of the 26 would give them the majority they are currently projected to gain 3 seats. In 2016, he resigned as Donald Trump's Georgia state director after his criminal history was revealed. Walgreens wont distribute abortion pills in states where GOP AGs object, Washingtons Favorite Republican Is Making All the Right Moves, See all the latest midterm election results. Its going to be a disaster for democracy. 3 Questions We Have About George Santos Jan 5, 2023; Congress. Can She Fix Congress Elitism Problem? | Butch Dill/AP Photo. Read the analysis >. Likely Democratic: 20 seats Lean Democratic: 27 seats Toss-Up: 26 seats Lean Republican: 18 seats Likely Republican: 37 seats Solid Republican: 162 seats Advertisement The current breakdown of the. GOP officials in Pennsylvania are also in the process of launching initiatives aimed at persuading more of their supporters to vote by mail a method many of them had previously criticized, challenged in court and tried to repeal legislatively and healing intraparty divides across the states diverse regions. (Example: A political pundit looking at high inflation rates, general voter dissatisfaction and historic midterm trends and concluding that Democrats will get wiped out in the November elections. Drop us a line with your final predictions: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza. It was the kind of conversation women everywhere were having with their mothers, sisters, daughters and friends. November 4:Wisconsin moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican. Im not focused on anything except getting a majority Tuesday night, Scott said in an interview on NBC News Meet the Press. After host CHUCK TODD replied, Thats a non-answer, Scott repeated his line that he is solely focused on Tuesday's elections., 2024 WATCH Cotton passes on 2024 presidential run after considering campaign, by Alex Isenstadt: Sen. TOM COTTON (R-Ark.) And despite what they may tell the public, other prospective candidates are prepared to do the same. RT @AceElections: In 2022 all of Election Twitter learned a valuable lesson and that is to never question @RalstonReports when it comes to his predictions in the state of Nevada. A GOP postmortem: What went so wrong in Pennsylvania? December 5:Georgia runoff moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Tiny changes in vote totals create massive changes in the ideological direction of those institutions Trump vs. Biden, KEVIN McCARTHY vs. NANCY PELOSI. After turning to Mr. Biden for a sense of normalcy two years ago following the turmoil of Mr. Trump, voters now appear poised to register discontent that he has not delivered it the way they expected, regardless of whether it was realistic in the first place., HOW IT AFFECTS THE HILL 5 big congressional contests that won't get settled on Election Day, by Burgess Everett, Sarah Ferris and Olivia Beavers: While the midterms are coming to a close, leadership races on Capitol Hill are just getting started., DIDNT SAY NO Rick Scott doesn't rule out run for majority leader if GOP takes Senate, by NBCs Summer Concepcion: Sen. Legal Statement. 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). Judge Timothy Thomason, who also announced the results of recounts in two other races, said Republican Tom Horne prevailed in the race for state superintendent of public instruction and Republican Liz Harris won a state legislative seat in the Phoenix suburbs. The current breakdown of the House (allocating vacant seats to the party that last won them) is 222 Democrats and 213 Republicans. It was, in other words, meant to look presidential. Jack Dorsey and Elon Musk had an argument about Twitter on Twitter. With reporting from CNN's Paul LeBlanc 9:49 p.m. RON DeSANTIS played out in Florida on Sunday as the two held dueling rallies. (For a non-political example, me predicting in August that this will be the year the Detroit Lions win the Super Bowl.). Thanks for reading Playbook. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. We may get caught up in some of the over-interpretation ourselves. I tweeted to her yesterday, asking her to condemn this. Market data provided by Factset. office Kate OConnor of the House Energy and Commerce Committee Jose Diaz-Balart Donald Kohn (8-0) Brunswick Groups Siobhan Gorman Brad Woodhouse of Protect Our Care Aanchal Sahay of Planned Parenthood Federation former Sen. Rudy Boschwitz (R-Minn.) (92) Michael Kratsios former CIA Director David Petraeus George Thompson of FleishmanHillard David Grossman Jeff Bjornstad Pat Devlin. Faith has been Mr. Bidens calling card in his nearly two years in office faith in the system in which he has been a fixture for more than half a century, faith that he could repair the fissures of a broken society, faith that he and he alone could beat former President Donald J. Trump if they face off again in 2024. He has said that he will not caucus with either party if he wins. ALMOST THERE 1 day left until Election Day. Doug Sosnik is the kind of political analyst who likes to figure out the results of the next election well in advance it's just how he's wired. But in an election fueled by inflation, other issues struggle to break through., RALSTONS NEVADA PREDICTIONS Crystal ball says Cortez Masto hangs on, Sisolak doesnt and Dems retain two of three House seats, by the Nevada Independents Jon Ralston. "Demographics is destiny" was their refrain. Alabama (USAT) Katie Britt (Rep.): 99% chance of winning. The final pages of the 2022 midterm elections are yet to be written. And a Republican-controlled House would be armed with subpoena power and unleash an onslaught of investigations and perhaps even impeachments of Cabinet officials or, eventually, the president himself., If the GOP also wins the Senate: Biden would face major challenges in confirming Cabinet members, picks to the federal judiciary and, were a seat to open, a selection for the Supreme Court. In Wisconsin, GOP Sen. Ron Johnson jumped out to a lead earlier this fall, but the final polls suggest that Democrat Mandela Barnes remains in contention. The current 2022 Senate forecast fromInside Elections. WELCOME TO THE WORLD Elise Flick, global comms director for Vice World News, and Nick Hatcher, senior publishing editor for speed and trending at the Wall Street Journal, welcomed Charlie Bruce Hatcher on Nov. 1. Professional private-sector forecasters predict it will decline from 2.5 percent in . Theres no agreed upon definition of what constitutes a wave. This Election Day, Listen to the Betting Market Instead of Pundit Predictions Over time, betting has been a better predictor than polls, pundits, statistical models, and everything . Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. Dont miss out on the app you can rely on for the news you need, reimagined. Senate Seats By State The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+). | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo, No longer tied to the Senate, the vice president feels comfort and flexibility as she hits the road on abortion, climate and other issues. 2022 House Election Forecasts These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Republicans are poised to return to power in Washington and be the brake pedal on a Biden agenda. Your support impacts the debate on critical issues of public policy. Inflation, crime, progressive attempts at overreach and a general sense that President Biden is not up to the job will likely deliver a surprisingly large victory to Republicans. / February 9, 2023. I think it's a little unfair to Republicans to say that a gain in the high teens, for instance, would be some sort of big disappointment, Kondik told Playbook. Mayes and Hamadeh were not in court during the hearing. It also brings to the surface tensions over whether or not McDaniel can or should lead the RNC in this current political climate, with an increasingly undisciplined Trump launching a third presidential run and the party coming to terms with midterm losses that many blame on the former president. How Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed Feb 2, 2023; Congress. They will suffer net losses of 63 in London, 38 across the rest of England, 83 in Scotland and 22 in Wales. Ron DeSantis on Tuesday formally kicked off his second term in office as he looks to his political future. CLOSING TIME Democrats look to centrists in final hours while GOP amps up its base, by WaPos Annie Linskey, Cara McGoogan and Colby Itkowitz, For Republicans: As Republican candidates make their final appeal in key states, theyre tapping some of the most polarizing figures in their party and turning to messages centered on cultural division and at times pushing racial discord., For Democrats: At the same time, many Democrats are scrambling to highlight more moderate themes, overlooking the far left of their party and bringing in surrogates who appeal to middle-of-the-road voters, including former president Bill Clinton, Transportation Secretary PETE BUTTIGIEG and Sen. AMY KLOBUCHAR (Minn.)., Confidence, Anxiety and a Scramble for Votes Two Days Before the Midterms, by NYTs Lisa Lerer, Jennifer Medina and Jonathan Weisman in Delaware County, Pa.: As candidates sprinted across the country to make their closing arguments to voters, Republicans entered the final stretch of the race confident they would win control of the House and possibly the Senate. BIDENS MONDAY:9:30 a.m.: The president will receive the Presidents Daily Brief.4 p.m.: Biden will participate in virtual receptions for the DNC.5:45 p.m.: Biden and first lady JILL BIDEN will depart the White House en route to Bowie, Md.7 p.m.: The Bidens will participate in a rally for Maryland Democratic gubernatorial candidate WES MOORE.8:25 p.m.: The Bidens will depart Bowie to return to the White House.Press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE will brief at 1:45 p.m.VP KAMALA HARRIS MONDAY (all times Eastern):4:10 p.m.: The VP will deliver remarks at a political event at UCLA.5 p.m.: Harris will join a virtual political event. In missives sent to all 168 members, several committeemen expressed horror with the Nick Fuentes dinner. DESANTIS TOUTS WIN FOR THE AGES AS HE AND RUBIO SCORE BIG VICTORIES, SHADING PURPLE FLORIDA RED. Kris Mayes, a Democratic candidate for Arizona attorney general, smiles before a debate against Republican Abraham Hamadeh on Sept. 28, 2022. Sign up for EPPC Briefly! The early votes, which according to official figures skewed for Warnock, would also help the pastor-turned-senator expand a Senate majority that, by all historical indicators, Democrats were poised to lose. | Francis Chung/POLITICO. Our country moved rightward in a direction that is discernible, yet not dramatically. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Despite the long odds that national pundits and pollsters gave her throughout the campaign, she beat Joe Kent, an election-denier and regular guest on Tucker Carlson, by less than one point. These voters are not yet Republicans, but they increasingly recognize they are not modern Democrats. The modern average is a loss of 27 House seats. In the latest incident, Phillips allegedly kicked the dog of a woman named Tifani Eledge with his boot, causing a cut to the animals stomach, according to an affidavit attached to a warrant for Phillips arrest. SPOTTED: Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and husband George Akerlof having an early Saturday lunch at Petes New Haven Style Apizza in Tenleytown. To take control, one party must win at least six of the 10 competitive races. You cant call yourself a democracy or supporting democratic principles if you say, The only election that is fair is the one I win, he said at a campaign stop this weekend, referencing the many Republican candidates who deny the outcome of the 2020 election. The House of Representatives remains undecided, but Democrats have retained control of the Senate. Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly, a Democrat, is leading his Trump-backed GOP challenger Blake Masters in the r ace for the state's Senate seat, and CBS News characterizes the race as leaning Democratic . Political experts issue midterm election predictions, most conclude GOP will take House and Senate is toss-up Fox News Power Rankings predicts Republicans will take control of the House, while the . Brandon Phillips was arrested on Nov. 17 on a misdemeanor charge of animal cruelty and held on a $1,200 bond, which he posted to get released, according to a booking report. Santos admitted he hadnt directly worked for Goldman Sachs and Citigroup and had not graduated from Baruch College, nor from any institution of higher learning.. The final forecast lists six Toss Up races, one more than two years ago. All rights reserved. After years of assembling the annual worst predictions list for POLITICO Magazine, Ive come to understand a difference, subtle but distinct, between bad predictions and ones that are truly awful. So now why would I add that little detail? | Drew Angerer/Getty Images. Tom Brenner . GEORGE W. BUSH and Obama were both seen as ushering in eras of dominance for their respective parties. And yet, over the last several years, Republicans steadily chipped away at their advantage. The views expressed by EPPC scholars in their work are their individual views only and are not to be imputed to EPPC as an institution. Its going to be a disaster for Social Security and Medicare. The highly anticipated results announced Thursday in Maricopa County Superior Court are among the last in the country to come out of Novembers election and solidified another victory for Democrats who shunned election fraud conspiracies in what used to be a solidly Republican state. 40,114,753 early votes cast as of 3:33 p.m. Sunday, per the United States Elections Project. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. In 2020, Republicans won 26 of the 27 seats rated as Toss Up by POLITICO. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. The Republican Jewish Coalition on Tuesday condemned Rep.-elect George Santos after he admitted to lying about key details of his credentials and misrepresenting his Jewish heritage. For the White House, that would be just the beginning of the hurdles.. Henry Olsen, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, studies and provides commentary on American politics. Nov. 4, 2022 I've used prediction markets for years, never for trading but rather as a source of information, an interesting adjunct to polls, economic and political models, and traditional. Meanwhile, Democrats set their sights on flipping New Yorks 3rd congressional district before Santos is even seated. Thirty . GEORGIA ON MY MIND A Quarter-Billion Dollars for the Walker-Warnock Georgia Senate Race Buys Toss-Up, by WSJs Joshua Jamerson and Cameron McWhirter in Atlanta: To win a single Senate seat, Republicans and Democrats have spent the equivalent of $30.83 on every one of the 7.8 million eligible voters in Georgia. Court cases typically move at a glacial pace, but this one lurched forward at a furious speed: Nkwonta filed the lawsuit on Monday at 10:08 p.m.; the Republican National Committee asked to join the case for Georgia sometime Tuesday; and at 10:55 a.m. on Wednesday, the judge ordered everyone to come to Atlanta for an in-person hearing less than 48 hours later. Despite changes in how people are able to vote in some states, experts have predicted that the high voter interest of the past few elections will continue. Are you enjoying this article? Exit Poll Results 2022. He was previously the communications director for the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC). We rated every race in play in 2022. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. By signing up you agree to allow POLITICO to collect your user information and use it to better recommend content to you, send you email newsletters or updates from POLITICO, and share insights based on aggregated user information. Josh Shapiro and Wes Moore Are Ready To Step Up, McDaniel vs. Dhillon: Inside the battle for the RNC, Election deniers set sights on next target. No one really knows what Election Day will bring Despite many predictions that Republicans will capture control of the U.S. House and are in contention to win a Senate majority, no one knows. And they say she no longer feels her every move is being eyed in the context of a potential 2024 Harris presidential campaign since her boss is highly likely to seek another term. The red wave never arrived, nor did the Russian victory over Ukraine. The unofficial guide to official Washington. Within the next few weeks, he needs to tell the world, but most importantly his own party, whether he intends to run for president. The final forecast lists six "Toss Up" races, one more than two years ago. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images. He deceived us and misrepresented his heritage., After aNew York Times investigation last week called out inconsistencies in his rsum, Santos (R-N.Y.) on Mondaytold the New York Post that he had indeed fabricated elements of his background in the lead-up to Novembers midterm elections. NEW YORK George Santos general election opponent called for a House investigation into the GOP member-elect over biographical fabricationshe told on the campaign trail as Democrats plotted how to take back the district. A majority is a majority., Kondik thinks its better to look at the overall number of seats Republicans win rather than the net increase. Tuesdays results show the public wants to turn the page on complete Democratic control of Washington. There was a wave election in Pennsylvania for Democrats Progressive favorite Katie Porter wins re-election after days of counting House Republicans plan investigations and possible. Political scientists know that the president's party loses seats in midterms. White House aides believe the GOP would likely be as obstructionist as possible. A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters . Find out how Emergent perceives, prepares, and protects. A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. Doubling down on mass emails and texts is still a way to raise significant cash, and federal candidates and committees raised a combined $3.3 billion on ActBlue and WinRed, the parties primary online fundraising platforms, during the 2022 cycle. DeSantis was right to block this course. FiveThirtyEights House model: Republicans have an 80% chance of winning between 1 and 33 seats. Walgreens wont distribute abortion pills in states where GOP AGs object, Washingtons Favorite Republican Is Making All the Right Moves. Kathy Griffingot kicked off Twitter for impersonating Elon Musk. He also served as the rapid response director and national spokesman for former Florida Governor Jeb Bushs 2016 campaign, as well as an aide on Mitt Romneys 2012 presidential campaign. A veteran Georgia Republican operative who is slated to be chief of staff for incoming Rep. Mike Collins was arrested last month for allegedly kicking a dog. Choose potential paths to a Senate majority in 2022. A gain under that probably means the Republicans would have left at least a little bit of meat on the bone. U.S. President Joe Biden discusses the 2022 U.S. midterm election results during a news conference in the State Dining Room at the White House in Washington, November 9, 2022. Making it easier to vote early or by mail did not lead to voter fraud, nor did it seem to advantage Republicans or Democrats. Republicans are still suffering from the pandemics fallout. Similarly, Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan is narrowly ahead of GOP candidate Don Bolduc in New Hampshire, though Bolduc is within striking distance. WEEKEND WEDDING Jim Warren, a government affairs, strategy and development analyst at Martin Marietta, and Madeleine Fennell, marketing and accounting manager at Emily Daws Textiles, recently got married in Charleston, S.C.. Pic Another pic SPOTTED: Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), Rep. Dan Bishop (R-N.C.), Jo Bishop, Saat Alety, Shay Hawkins, Alex Smith, John Partin, Lucas West, Kirsten West, Jude Al-hmoud and Clara Cargile. Who will win the midterms in 2022? On May 4, less than 48 hours after a draft opinion was published showing the Supreme Court was poised to end the federal right to abortion, a group of eight strangers gathered around a conference table in the Detroit suburbs to talk about the news. Alaskas Fisheries Are Collapsing. See the rest of our predictions. In a review of several political science models of how Democrats should fare in 2022 given fundamentals like the state of the economy and JOE BIDENs approval rating, Vanderbilts John Sides notes that Democrats expected losses should be about 40-45 seats, which is well above the range predicted by major handicappers. They were all white women, mostly in their 30s to 50s and without college degrees. All House seats were up for grabs, as were 34 Senate seats. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. Its going to be a disaster for everything., If the GOP wins the House: First, Bidens legislative agenda would grind to a halt. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. November 1:Florida moves from Leans to Likely Republican; Washington Safe to Likely Democratic. (REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY/File Photo). Get ready to discover what the stars have in . we are still at a stage in the 2022 election cycle when the names of many of the horses aren't even known. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. But on Tuesday, we saw where the plot was headed. November 8, 2022. But even . Herschel Walker is his creation, former New Jersey Gov. Midterm election results 2022 senate house. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. MORE: Here Are 11 Races to Watch in the 2023 Chicago Elections In the 19 th ward, which includes Beverly, Mount Greenwood and Morgan Park, Ald. 04 Mar 2023 01:54:16 As a leader in the fight to help combat the opioid epidemic, Emergent has been committed to access, and awareness, of naloxone including for the most vulnerable patient populations at risk. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Republicans have 211 of the 218 seats needed to control the House, according to CNN projections. The challenge after Tuesday is to keep two things in mind: There can be a massive change in policy direction (the House flipping) with only a small change in the electorate (less than 5% of House seats changing hands). The 2020 United States Senate elections were held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 class 2 seats of the Senate contested in regular elections. Hochul is a politician carved from a previous era., HOOSIER HEADS UP A potential bright spot for Dems in Indiana, by Adam Wren: Indiana Democrats, shut out of statewide offices for a decade in the solidly red state, could change that on Tuesday thanks to an unexpectedly competitive secretary of state race. And the fallout, fueled by cross-country migration and even the Covid death toll, could linger into 2024 and beyond. The jury may still be out on the final makeup of the House and Senate but these three takeaways from Tuesday night's results are in view. In the House, the most likely outcome is that this will be a typical midterm in which the presidents party loses seats. He previously was co-founder of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. She was a generous tipper, per our tipster. It is a pivotal moment for the two to move ahead on areas of alignment, years away from their respective reelection. Republicans such as Donald Trump are already ready to run. Meanwhile, Republicans are in the hunt in Colorado and Washington State though both are rated Lean Democratic. It would take a larger GOP wave than is currently apparent for Democratic Sens. We are very disappointed in Congressman-elect Santos, RJC, a political group that supports Jewish Republicans,said in a statement. But Hochul and Adams are banking that a unified approach will move the needle on a number of top items from changes to the states controversial laws ending cash bail to a rapid increase in housing development in a state controlled entirely by Democrats. They must also address crime concerns that fueled a red wave in November across deep-blue New York. or redistributed. Going into the 2022 election cycle, Georgia had been seen as one of the Senate seats Republicans were most likely to pick up in the midterms.